Effective Rent Growth Hits 39-Month High at 5.2%; Occupancy Remains Above 95%; Portland, Northern California Strongest Rent-Growth Metros
DALLAS, TX--(Marketwired - October 16, 2015) - The national apartment market continued its unprecedented strength in September 2015. The 5.2% annual effective rent growth was the highest since July 2011 (5.3%) and was the eighth straight month the rate has been 5.0% or higher, according to Axiometrics, the leader in apartment and student housing market research.
"This is the 'Year of the Apartment Market, Part 2,'" said Stephanie McCleskey, Axiometrics Vice President of Research.
"Whereas 2014, what we called 'The Year of the Apartment Market,' featured rapidly rising rent-growth rates, increasing from 2.8% to 5.0%, the metric has remained extraordinarily steady so far in 2015," McCleskey said. "The eight months the rate has been above 5% is the longest sustained period of strength we have seen. The last growth cycle was only four years, and this cycle is already five years long -- with no sign of stopping."
Strong demand for apartments is also driving heightened occupancy levels.
YTD Rent Growth: 2015 Strongest So Far
A measure of the national apartment market's Herculean strength in 2015 is the national year-to-date (YTD) effective rent growth rate of 5.8% in September. That rate is the highest of not only this year, but also of the entire post-recession period.
"If this year follows the trends of previous post-recession years, growth rates should start to decrease next month," McCleskey said. "However, 2015 has outperformed every post-recession year for the past six months, and occupancy rates remain so high that there might not be much of a slowdown."
Portland Still No. 1, but California Dominates Top 10
| Annual Effective Rent Growth | Occupancy Rate | Revenue Growth | |||||
| Rank | MSA | 14-Sep | 15-Sep | 14-Sep | 15-Sep | 14-Sep | 15-Sep |
| 1 | Portland, OR | 5.80% | 14.31% | 96.01% | 96.06% | 5.80% | 14.36% |
| 2 | Oakland, CA | 11.49% | 13.03% | 96.85% | 96.42% | 11.52% | 12.60% |
| 3 | San Francisco, CA | 7.85% | 11.30% | 96.69% | 96.40% | 8.39% | 11.01% |
| 4 | Sacramento, CA | 8.75% | 9.95% | 96.15% | 95.83% | 9.40% | 9.64% |
| 5 | San Jose, CA | 11.13% | 9.33% | 96.40% | 95.44% | 11.78% | 8.37% |
| 6 | Denver, CO | 10.21% | 8.79% | 96.23% | 95.54% | 10.66% | 8.10% |
| 7 | Orlando, FL | 5.48% | 8.42% | 95.65% | 96.04% | 6.32% | 8.81% |
| 8 | San Diego, CA | 5.29% | 8.41% | 96.39% | 96.23% | 5.45% | 8.25% |
| 9 | Seattle, WA | 6.65% | 8.03% | 95.67% | 95.50% | 6.89% | 7.86% |
| 10 | Riverside, CA | 4.67% | 7.70% | 95.39% | 95.68% | 5.21% | 7.99% |
| 11 | Phoenix, AZ | 5.71% | 7.39% | 94.16% | 94.81% | 6.27% | 8.03% |
| 12 | West Palm Beach, FL | 7.81% | 7.18% | 95.75% | 94.63% | 8.68% | 6.06% |
| 13 | Los Angeles, CA | 4.58% | 7.13% | 96.39% | 96.48% | 5.30% | 7.22% |
| 14 | Charleston, SC | 6.04% | 6.84% | 95.25% | 95.78% | 6.42% | 7.36% |
| 15 | Nashville, TN | 5.34% | 6.74% | 96.09% | 96.32% | 5.25% | 6.97% |
| 16 | Charlotte, NC | 4.00% | 6.59% | 95.39% | 95.99% | 3.99% | 7.19% |
| 17 | Tampa, FL | 4.88% | 6.58% | 95.33% | 95.95% | 5.83% | 7.21% |
| National | 4.30% | 5.20% | 95.18% | 95.37% | 4.58% | 5.39% | |
| Selected Other Markets | |||||||
| 3 | Cape Coral, FL | 11.87% | 12.28% | 95.84% | 97.05% | 13.53% | 13.49% |
| 4 | Naples, FL | 10.97% | 11.74% | 97.44% | 96.75% | 11.25% | 11.05% |
| 5 | Palm Bay, FL | 5.40% | 11.54% | 95.03% | 96.13% | 6.24% | 12.64% |
| 7 | Salinas, CA | 6.64% | 10.39% | 97.62% | 97.48% | 8.20% | 10.25% |
| 9 | North Port, FL | 7.35% | 9.52% | 96.57% | 95.78% | 7.44% | 8.73% |
| *Rank is based on annual effective rent growth in September 2015 for Axiometrics' Top 50 Markets. Selected other markets are based on Axiometrics' Top 121 Markets. Axio tracks properties in more than 450 MSAs throughout the country. | |||||||
| Source: Axiometrics Inc. | |||||||
About Axiometrics
Axiometrics' specialty is monitoring the apartment and student housing markets, providing an in-depth view of volatile market trends. Axiometrics' granular data-collection methods and enlightening analysis help clients make profitable -- and intelligent -- decisions. To learn more, visit www.axiometrics.com, follow @Axiometrics or on LinkedIn, or call 214-953-2242.
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