Global Telecoms Markets 2018-2019 & Forecast to 2023 - Handset Revenue will Account for 44.9% of the Total Service Eevenue in 2023


Dublin, April 19, 2019 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The "The Global Telecoms Market: Trends and Forecasts 2018-2023" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.

"Telecoms service revenue will continue to grow worldwide, primarily due to the continuous demand for mobile data services."

Mobile handset revenue will account for 44.9% of the total service revenue in 2023 due to the mobile-centric nature of most regions. Regions with significant populations are also still exhibiting growth in this segment. This report examines telecoms trends on a global and regional level and provides key insights into the future of these markets.

This report and data annex provide:

  • A 5-year forecast of more than 180 mobile and fixed KPIs for the worldwide telecoms markets and for eight regions
  • An in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service in each geographical region, and a worldwide summary
  • An overview of operator strategies and region-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-regional comparison
  • A summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile and fixed operators.

Key Topics Covered:

Executive summary and recommendations

  • The growth in global telecoms service revenue will be primarily driven by growth in the number of mobile handsets in developing markets
  • Retail revenue growth is largely dictated by market maturity; saturated markets will exhibit much less revenue growth in the period to 2023
  • Geographical coverage: SSA and MENA are the only regions in which the shares of 4G/5G and NGA connections will be less than 70% and 80%, respectively, by 2023
  • Key trends, drivers and assumptions for the mobile and fixed markets
  • Key recommendations for telecoms operators
  • Global forecasts and regional comparison
  • Market context: the telecoms share of GDP ranges from 1.5% in CEE to 2.1% in SSA
  • Key mergers, acquisitions and market entries
  • Key drivers at a glance for each region
  • Market overview: fixed broadband revenue will grow more than mobile handset revenue; the latter will continue to account for the majority of total revenue by 2023
  • Mobile: mobile data traffic will increase thanks to 5G launches in developed markets and increasing 4G take-up in developing markets
  • Mobile: increased data consumption combined with migration from prepaid to contract plans will decrease the rate of ARPU decline in the forecast period
  • Mobile: 5G roll-outs and digital services will be key areas for operator investment
  • Fixed: fixed revenue growth will be driven by increased competition in the NGA segment in most regions as the number of fibre roll-outs increases

Fixed: North America is the only region in which fixed broadband ASPU will grow significantly thanks to limited competition

  • Fixed: the NGA share of connections will be over 80% in most regions; the Middle East and North Africa and Sub-Saharan Africa are the exceptions
  • Business services: revenue from all segments of business services will grow during the forecast period; IT service providers will dominate the market
  • IoT: automotive and smart building applications will be the key drivers of IoT revenue worldwide
  • Pay TV: growth in pay-TV revenue will primarily be driven by OTT video services as revenue from traditional pay-TV will begin to decline after 2019
  • Regional forecasts
  • Western Europe: increased fixed broadband penetration and business services will be the main drivers of total telecoms revenue growth
  • Western Europe: 4G/LTE take-up will continue to drive growth in mobile data usage, but ARPU will remain flat during the forecast period
  • Western Europe: 5G spectrum auctions and launches of 5G services will be an important part of operators' activity in Western Europe
  • Western Europe: forecast changes
  • Central and Eastern Europe: total telecoms revenue growth will be driven by smartphone adoption and the use of high-value handset data plans
  • Central and Eastern Europe: the penetration of NGA technologies will increase due to the limited legacy infrastructure in CEE
  • Central and Eastern Europe: fixed-mobile converged (FMC) bundles and speed upgrades will help operators to maintain revenue growth
  • Central and Eastern Europe: forecast changes
  • Emerging Asia-Pacific: both mobile and fixed service revenue will continue to grow during the forecast period

Emerging Asia-Pacific: investment in NGA and competition will drive the growth of fixed broadband household penetration in many countries

  • Emerging Asia-Pacific: competition in both the mobile and fixed markets is expected to intensify across the region
  • Emerging Asia-Pacific: forecast changes
  • Developed Asia-Pacific: mobile data will drive revenue growth in DVAP; fixed broadband revenue will not offset declining fixed voice revenue
  • Developed Asia-Pacific: 99.5% of mobile connections in DVAP will use 4G or 5G in 2023
  • Developed Asia-Pacific: the fixed market in DVAP is very competitive and operators will focus on consumer experience and churn reduction
  • Developed Asia-Pacific: forecast changes
  • Middle East and North Africa: mobile services will account for most of the revenue, but fixed broadband will have the strongest revenue growth
  • Middle East and North Africa: LTE take-up and the launch of 5G services in 2019 will contribute to traffic growth and will reduce the ARPU decline
  • Middle East and North Africa: broadband connections and revenue will grow in the forecast period driven by network roll-out and service demand
  • Middle East and North Africa: forecast changes
  • Sub-Saharan Africa: mobile and fixed data services will drive revenue growth but mobile voice will continue to be key to service revenue growth
  • Sub-Saharan Africa: wireless access will contribute the largest share of broadband revenue, but fibre will have the highest growth rate
  • Sub-Saharan Africa: FBB services offer strong growth opportunities but they will remain inaccessible to the majority of the region's population
  • Sub-Saharan Africa: forecast changes

Latin America: mobile, and particularly handset data, will account for the majority of telecoms revenue growth in the next 5 years

  • Latin America: operators' fibre and cable roll-out plans will have a strong positive effect on NGA adoption and fixed broadband penetration
  • Latin America: growth in mobile connectivity will be limited, but ARPU will be positively affected by an increase in the contract share of connections
  • Latin America: forecast changes
  • North America: the total telecoms service revenue will grow modestly, mostly due to an increase in fixed broadband revenue
  • North America: the growth in mobile penetration will mostly come from Canada, where the mobile market is less competitive than in the USA
  • North America: the competitive market pressure will ease and MNOs will look for new opportunities in the FWA segment
  • North America: forecast changes
  • Methodology
  • Our forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge
  • Examples of forecast input drivers

For more information about this report visit https://www.researchandmarkets.com/r/rq0svo

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